Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 64.069020 72.624899 81.391629 91.012610 101.242027 111.763466 123.373223
2025-10-26 50.661348 62.865144 75.962733 90.926304 107.418424 124.923282 144.793828
2025-11-02 42.921805 57.114034 72.881705 91.413222 112.335568 134.995253 161.171321
2025-11-09 36.273965 51.669881 69.344755 90.656533 115.227210 142.294376 174.013927
2025-11-16 31.424520 47.726177 67.011308 90.793110 118.703233 149.883755 186.849779
2025-11-23 26.849916 43.614861 64.065443 89.846061 120.617485 155.445289 197.173469
2025-11-30 24.012493 41.394357 63.164757 91.115195 124.934452 163.607917 210.325511
2025-12-07 21.680600 39.592964 62.596053 92.627662 129.411142 171.856764 223.497496
2025-12-14 18.646362 36.535452 60.202538 91.700949 130.812525 176.397091 232.287932
2025-12-21 15.661094 33.235087 57.258702 89.888319 130.979593 179.357002 239.132000
2025-12-28 14.879414 33.090303 58.455048 93.296592 137.510382 189.845662 254.775948
2026-01-04 13.638657 32.120557 58.447067 95.089123 141.998863 197.867408 267.502052
2026-01-11 11.720754 29.915841 56.640146 94.489110 143.499980 202.331337 276.089089
2026-01-18 10.032147 27.889392 54.956185 93.956666 145.019743 206.775816 284.629332
2026-01-25 8.830421 26.545344 54.155820 94.530770 147.885478 212.814690 295.040170
2026-02-01 7.426062 24.647847 52.420789 93.745994 148.944513 216.594883 302.706614
2026-02-08 6.392654 23.295508 51.411095 93.887568 151.147121 221.745268 311.996429
2026-02-15 5.251809 21.538712 49.666200 92.922041 151.847666 224.993391 318.952671
2026-02-22 4.665978 20.853191 49.551045 94.215428 155.484137 231.876067 330.312744
2026-03-01 4.179886 20.312169 49.627709 95.756504 159.432568 239.141837 342.139877
2026-03-08 3.350541 18.795320 48.020623 94.812280 160.037263 242.186048 348.789992
2026-03-15 2.515800 17.019648 45.855170 92.965169 159.368334 243.577557 353.375906
2026-03-22 2.453835 17.349943 47.296631 96.438029 165.870240 254.049730 369.140660